Michael Fowlkes
Chapel Hill, NC - http://www.investorsobserver.com
Michael Fowlkes is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
Automakers brace for more hard times to come
It probably should come as no surprise, but June was a tough month for automakers, and all signs are pointing to more troubles out on the horizon. All but one major automaker saw their sales drop last month, with Honda Motor (NYSE: HMC) being the sole exception. For the month, Honda actually had a 1% year-over-year sales growth, which given the current market place was an exceptional feat.
So just how bad was June for the automakers? Pretty bad. During the month, combined auto sales fell to 1.19 million vehicles sold, a 266,000 decline from the same period last year. This just continues the trend that we have been seeing all year, amounting to roughly a 10% sales decline during the first half of the year.
Continue reading Automakers brace for more hard times to come
Oil trading higher ahead of today's inventory report
Oil continued to remain strong with prices moving slightly higher this morning, ahead of today's weekly inventory report. The main reason for prices remaining strong continues to be worries over oil supplies. Traders have pushed prices through the $142 mark this morning, with the precious crude trading as high as $142.45, but have cooled off a bit and are now sitting at $141.06, which is $0.09 higher on the day. As Douglas McIntyre discussed earlier, typically such high oil prices are expected to put a crimp in demand, but this time around that may not be the case at all. Already many analysts are stating that demand may not fall too much, even with the record high gasoline prices.
We should get a slightly clearer picture on just how true that is later today when the Department of Energy releases the weekly inventory numbers. Last week inventories increased, but that is expected to reverse this week, and analysts are predicting this week's oil inventory numbers to actually show a decline of around 1.2 million barrels (compared with a 800,000 barrel increase that was reported last week).
Continue reading Oil trading higher ahead of today's inventory report
Kroger (KR) issues a beef recall following reports of E. coli
If you are a Kroger (NYSE: KR) shopper and you think that you may have picked up some beef from the grocer recently, you may want to take a closer look at it, as reports of E. coli have prompted a recall from the grocery chain.The recall involves beef products that were purchased between May 21 and June 8 in Michigan, and parts of the Ohio market. Kroger was forced to take this action following reports that there had been E. coli illnesses linked to beef sold in Kroger stores in the two locations.
So far, it looks as though there have been 19 reported cases in Michigan, and another 15 cases reported in the state of Ohio that can be linked back to the Kroger beef. The meat in question has been traced back to a Kroger store in Gahanna, a town in central Ohio. It does not look as though any stores in Michigan have definitely been linked to the tainted meat, but since there are reported cases of the disease in the area, you should definitely return any beef that you purchased from Kroger during the time frame in question.
Continue reading Kroger (KR) issues a beef recall following reports of E. coli
The world's millionaire list hits a milestone
For the first time ever, the number of millionaires in the world broke through the 10 million mark last year. All said and done, the total number of people who can claim to have $1 million in the bank grew to around 10.1 million people, and on average, these lucky few boast around $4 million in net worth.While the number of people in the "millionaires club" is definitely impressive, they still do not have to worry about the clout of their $1 million claims being diluted just yet. Ten million people may sound like a lot, but when you consider the world's total population is currently running at around 6.7 billion, you find that the percentage of all people on the planet who can claim to have $1 million is less than 0.2%. So don't feel too bad if you are not part of the club just yet.
As in the past, the majority of millionaires have an American address, with one out of every three millionaires being American. But there are a few other areas of the world where growth is out-pacing the United States. Developing economies in India, China and Brazil resulted in huge growth in those countries, especially in India, where the number of millionaires rose by about 23% last year alone.
Continue reading The world's millionaire list hits a milestone
Monsanto (MON) beats earnings estimates, but misses revenue target
Shares of agricultural producer Monsanto (NYSE: MON) are trading in the red today, despite posting better than expected earnings per share for its fiscal third quarter. The main reason why the stock is trading lower is that it was unable to match the revenues that Wall Street was hoping to see.
Heading into today's earnings release, analysts had been hoping to see Monsanto show earnings of $1.34 per share, and the company was able to come in above this, with a reported $1.45 a share for the quarter. A fairly impressive EPS, and a very respectable 42% jump from the same period last year when it reported earnings of $1.02 a share to its investors.
The company stated that the main reason for the jump in earnings was strong sales for herbicides as well as specialty seeds. One of the company's most recognizable names in the herbicide market is Roundup, which it said had a great quarter.
Continue reading Monsanto (MON) beats earnings estimates, but misses revenue target
More troubles for Circuit City (CC) during the first quarter
It is safe to say that the past couple of years have been tough on shareholders of Circuit City (NYSE: CC), and today is no different as the company posted a large loss for its fiscal first quarter. Shares of the electronics retailer are down 7.5% after the company posted a loss of $1 a share for its most recent quarter.The company stated that the main reason for its poor performance last quarter was weak sales performance in the company's established stores. This really should not come as a big surprise to us since we have been well aware of the company's faltering sales over the past couple of years. On the whole, same-store sales dropped by 11.3%, and continues to affirm the belief that Circuit City definitely has its work cut out for it if it ever wants to start regaining its lost market share.
The total loss on the quarter totaled $164.8 million, about triple the $54.6 million loss it recorded for the same period last year. I wish I could say that things are looking brighter down the road but that is just not the case, as the retailer is expected to post another large loss for its second quarter. Analysts had been expecting to see a loss of $143.4 million for the current quarter, but the company issued weaker guidance, stating that it expects to see a loss of somewhere between $170 and $185 million.
Continue reading More troubles for Circuit City (CC) during the first quarter
Morgan Stanley (MS) sees a 61% decline in quarterly profit
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS), the nation's second largest investment bank, posted its second quarter numbers today. As expected, the firm saw a hefty drop in quarterly profit. The ongoing credit crisis hit the bank hard and resulted in a 61% decline in quarterly profit, a number that could have been much worse.
The reason why I say that the situation could have been much worse is that the company benefited from the sale of around $1.4 billion in assets during the quarter. This contributed to a profit of 95 cents per share for the quarter.
The 95 cents per share was actually above Wall Street estimates, as analysts had been expecting to see the company show earnings for the quarter of 92 cents per share. But that has not prevented traders from pushing the stock lower in early morning trading. As of 11:00 am, we are seeing shares trading down 5% to $38.49.
Continue reading Morgan Stanley (MS) sees a 61% decline in quarterly profit
Apple's new iPhone comes with $199 price tag
As expected, Apple announced today the launch of its next generation iPhone, and the new phone will come with a price tag that is $200 less than the current model. The new 3G iPhones are going to hit the market with a $199 price tag.A big reason for the release of the the new iPhones is the desire by Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to hit their goal of selling 10 million phones by the end of the year. The new phone will have faster Internet connection and satellite navigation capabilities. If you are like me, and have been postponing the purchase of a new phone in anticipation of today's announcement, you will have to wait a bit longer. The new phones will be available on July 11.
While the new phones will be about half the price of the current models, the monthly service plans will be a bit higher. Look for a $39.99 monthly plan, plus another $30 monthly fee for unlimited data. This works out to be about a $10 monthly increase, but considering the improvements of the new phones, not too bad of a deal if you ask me. Supposedly the new iPhones will be able to download data twice as fast as the current model.
Continue reading Apple's new iPhone comes with $199 price tag
Goldman Sachs looking for $150 oil soon
Oil is starting the week off trading a little lower today, but Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is looking for oil prices to continue to move higher, and expects to see $150 much sooner than previously thought.While speaking today at a conference in Malaysian's capital, Kuala Lumpur, Jeffrey Currie stated that the possibility that we were going to see $150 oil was real, and that he believed that we would hit that time sometime this summer. Goldman has been bullish on oil prices for some time now, and last month went so far as to state that we would be seeing $200 oil at some point within the next two years.
While $150 oil may sound insane, it really is not that big of a difference from where we are now. Today prices have retreated a bit back down to around $136.25, but Friday they were close to breaking through the $140 mark, after trading up more than $11 and hitting a high on of $139.12. All it would really take is just one or two more days like that to make $150 oil a reality.
Continue reading Goldman Sachs looking for $150 oil soon
Deep job cuts coming to Ford Motor (F)
Some more bad news for American car maker Ford Motor (NYSE: F) as the Detroit auto maker announced it would be reducing its salary workforce by upwards of 12%.The move came about a week after the company announced that it wouldn't be able to meet its goal of returning to profitability next year due to the current economic slowdown. A factor leading to the company's problem has been a shift in consumer preference from trucks to smaller, more fuel efficient vehicles, a move that comes in reaction to the current record high gasoline prices that have spread across America. Ford said last week it was forced to cut SUV production.
Ford has not released any specific details on the job cuts, but the details are expected to be released sometime in July. The company currently has 24,300 salaried workers in the United States, Canada and Mexico.
Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.
Exxon Mobil's Tillerson fends off Rockefeller attack
Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM) chairman and CEO Rex Tillerson was under attack today as some members of the Rockefeller family tried to convince shareholders to split the chairman and CEO jobs. Tillerson won the battle, and at least for now, will continue to hold both positions for the oil giant.As Zac Bissonnette noted Tuesday, Neva Rockefeller Goodwin and Peter O'Neill, descendants of John D. Rockefeller were the powering force behind today's proposed action, which wound up failing as only 39.5% of the company's shareholders voted to support the new changes. There were 4.4 billion votes cast in this years vote.
Last year, a similar proposal was put before a shareholder vote, with nearly an identical result of only a 40% approval for such a change.
Continue reading Exxon Mobil's Tillerson fends off Rockefeller attack
Air France-KLM joins the list of hurting airlines
In case you haven't noticed it, oil prices are surging, and the impact of these high prices is not going unfelt by the major airlines. Today, Europe's largest airline, Air France-KLM, stated what most of us already knew... it's not going to be a pretty year for the company's bottom line.During its fiscal fourth quarter the airline swung to a loss of $853.81 million. During the same period last year the company was able to show a profit of $44 million.
The current surge in oil prices (which hit $135 earlier today), definitely played a role in the weak quarter, but were not the main culprit in the hefty loss. Most of the loss was due to $834 million after-tax provision due to a European and U.S. investigation into the air-cargo industry.
Continue reading Air France-KLM joins the list of hurting airlines
Gamestop (GME) getting fragged despite record Q1 earnings
Shares of video game retailer Gamestop Corp (NYSE: GME) are getting shot down over 10% in premarket trading despite the company's record first quarter earnings. So let's take a look at the numbers. Earnings per share came in at 37 cents for the quarter, two cents above the 35 cents that analysts had been expecting to see. At 37 cents per share, the company showed a pretty remarkable 151.4% earnings growth from the same period last year.
Revenue figures were also very respectable for the company, with a reported $1.813 billion (a 41.8% year over year increase), and well above the $1.72 billion estimate. Same-store sales got a boost of 27.1%, and if you take a look at new videogame software growth, that figure is an amazing 72%.
Continue reading Gamestop (GME) getting fragged despite record Q1 earnings
Oil breaks through $135
It seems like everyday we are talking about the same news... rising oil prices. Today oil busted through the $135 mark and traded up as high as $135.09. Currently we are seeing oil at $133.91.There are three main factors at work today helping push prices higher; supply concerns, global demand estimates, and once again, the weak U.S. dollar. Of the three, the weak U.S. dollar has received most of the blame recently for the run up in oil prices.
As we have discussed many times before, any time the dollar shows weakness traders will rush into commodities as a natural way to hedge against the falling dollar. That is exactly what we have been seeing for most of this year, and that has continued into today, as the dollar has continued to drop.
Continue reading Oil breaks through $135
American (AMR) crash lands on Wall Street
Shares of AMR Corp. (NYSE: AMR) crashed today on Wall Street on a string a bad news out of its principal subsidiary, American Airlines, as current record-high oil prices continue to wreak havoc on the airline industry.Oil prices have been continuing to soar, and earlier today crude traded through the $133 mark, and nearly busted $134, trading as high as $133.82.
What does this mean for airlines? You guessed it... major changes in order to combat the rising costs of keeping their planes in the air, and after announcing a few new changes today, AMR took the full brunt of Wall Street, as nervous traders pushed the already beaten-up stock down another 24.2%.
So what exactly got the market so spooked? Well, I am not really sure which of the following was the final nail in the coffin; you can almost just take your pick:
- The company announced that it would be slashing the number of flights that it offers
- The company announced that it would start charging for all checked luggage
- And, last but not least, the company is being forced to reduce its workforce
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